Nerd Rage: How to Speedrun a Draft Bust

Image Credit: Bob Donnan/USA Today Sports

Did Bryce Young just become the biggest bust in NFL history?

That’s the inevitable question coming out of the sports world on Monday, when the Carolina Panthers elected to bench the former first overall pick in favor of Andy Dalton for the team’s upcoming game against the Las Vegas Raiders.

To be fair and even somewhat blunt, the move itself is far from shocking in a vacuum. Young not only doesn’t look like he’s improved after a disastrous rookie campaign, but it appears he’s somehow regressed just two games in. His first pass being an overthrow directly into the arms of New Orleans Saints safety Will Harris was merely a prelude to the nightmare that was about to unfold. Young has thrown for only 245 yards in two games with a 0-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His one touchdown (and the only one the Panthers have scored thus far) was a scramble in garbage time against the Saints…and he had to recover his own fumble to do it. Even the basic eye test does Young no favors: he has no confidence in his ability to drive the ball downfield, he looks skittish in the pocket and makes ill-advised decisions under pressure, and he looks afraid to even move around in the backfield. It’s how you get games like the one he had against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday: 84 passing yards on 26(!!!) passing attempts.

First-year coach Dave Canales tried to quash any unrest and claim confidence that Young was the guy, but it was ultimately too hard to justify the position. It may be hard to bench a top overall pick so early into his career, but anything’s on the table with professional micromanager David Tepper as owner. When pressed about Tepper’s involvement on the decision to bench Young, Canales tried to deflect as the Panthers placed the responsibility at his and GM Dan Morgan’s feet, but anyone who’s followed this organization since the hedge fund manager took over in 2018 would be shocked if he didn’t have his own say in the matter.

The optimist might argue that benching Young now was the right decision. The argument would go that a stable veteran like Dalton would gives Canales and his staff a better picture of where the Panthers are currently at, and it’s still early enough in the year that Young can reset and return to the lineup when ready. Here’s my problem with that line of thinking: how can they be so sure that Young’s confidence will ever return? His press conference after the Chargers game was chilling: his body language and vague answers looked and sounded like those of a broken human being. Now the head coach that was brought in to revitalize your career has essentially turned his back on you after two games? The supposed franchise savior has just seen his career disintegrate into dust before his own eyes, and the clock on his stint in Carolina may already be ticking down.

To make matters even worse, take a look back at the trade that brought Young to Carolina. To acquire him, the Panthers traded top receiver D.J. Moore, their 2023 and 2024 first-round picks, San Francisco’s 2023 second-round pick, and their own second-round pick in 2025 to the Chicago Bears. Moore has emerged as the focal point of Chicago’s passing game. The 2023 picks were used on Darnell Wright (one of the only consistent performers on Chicago’s offensive line) and Tyrique Stevenson (a starting cornerback in one of the NFL’s more underrated secondaries). The 2024 pick turned into the first overall selection, allowing the Bears to draft ballyhooed USC product Caleb Williams. With how this season is going for Carolina, that second-round pick next year is looking like pick 33, which the Bears could package into securing a first-round pick anyway. That would have been a lot had the Panthers drafted eventual Offensive Rookie of the Year C.J. Stroud, but a quarterback who’s on the bench after just 18 games and two victories? It’s looking like the kind of trade that sets a franchise back years.

Despite all of this, would you like to know the worst part about all of this? Young may go down as the biggest bust in NFL history, and it isn’t even his fault. Sure, his poor play thus far hasn’t helped his case, but think about the company he keeps in that discussion. The likes of Ryan Leaf, JaMarcus Russell, and Zach Wilson all had maturity issues that plagued their developments, and their floors turned out much lower than even the most pessimistic of expectations. With Young, on the other hand, his team hasn’t given up on him yet, and no one hears anything about him off-field that might lead to conclusions about character concerns. That’s not even considering the team in front of him. The Panthers tried to put some resources into helping Young out, but it doesn’t change that the collection of skill players is on the low end of the NFL hierarchy and the defense has taken two steps back. When the best player remaining is lost for the season in Week 1 and your top cornerback was just burned by maligned receiver Quentin Johnston for two touchdowns the very next game, no one can be surprised when even NFL analysts are calling your roster one of the worst ever assembled.

When it comes to all the factors that led to this moment, one has to only look at the constant variable in all of them: Tepper.

It has only been seven years into his tenure as Panthers owner, and he has already filled the void Dan Snyder left behind as the worst in the league. Look how the on-field product has devolved into what we’ve seen over the past couple of weeks. Counting interim coaches and holdover Ron Rivera, Carolina has already worked through seven head coaches under Tepper’s watch. The only hires that have been made in that time were Matt Rhule (college coach who didn’t pan out at the professional level) and Frank Reich (didn’t even make it out of his first season despite an all-star coaching staff that failed to coexist). It may be odd to say that Canales is already on the hot seat at the beginning of his six-year deal, but Tepper is also the same owner who fired Rhule midway through a seven-year contract and would still be paying him the buyout if it weren’t for Nebraska hiring him. Canales wasn’t just mentioned for the Carolina gig for his exemplary work in reviving the careers of Geno Smith and Baker Mayfield over the past couple years; it was also because he was one of the only candidates who would even remotely consider accepting the job. Signing on with the Panthers meant having to deal with an owner known for his impatience and meddling in team affairs, and Canales had to be at least acutely aware of these risks.

The quarterback situation hasn’t gotten much better, either. Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold were just there, Cam Newton came back briefly for little reason other than getting butts in seats, 2022 third-round pick Matt Corral didn’t even get a chance, and Teddy Bridgewater ended up being a free-agent bust. Now Young becomes the latest casualty as the revolving door continues to spin with no end in sight? It’s easy to say that Stroud or Williams could have been the answer but, with the way the Panthers are right now, Patrick Mahomes would struggle to win games with this group. It’s also important to know that Mayfield and Darnold have thrown for a combined 46 touchdowns and 14 interceptions since leaving the Panthers, and both are currently the starting quarterbacks of 2-0 squads in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings, respectively. If the Panthers get their choice of quarterbacks in 2025, what reason is there right now to think any of them have a shot to turn the tide?

That would be enough to establish Tepper as a terrible owner in the eyes of the NFL world, but his off-field exploits haven’t been stellar, either. A decision to cancel development on a practice site in Rock Hill, South Carolina, for the Panthers was received so well that the city sued the team and mudslinging has continued on both sides. A game against the Jaguars in Jacksonville saw Tepper pour drinks on opposing fans from his skybox. Tepper engaged in a feud with a Charlotte restaurant putting up a sign asking for Tepper to allow the coach and GM to make their drafting decisions, and the restaurant was all too happy to point out the owner’s poor decision-making practices.

Going back to Young, how could he or anyone possibly succeed in this environment? When a team has an owner that fancies himself a football genius and lords over his staff at every opportunity, management that has no choice but to cater to said owner’s every whim, and a coaching staff that rarely gets the chance to implement their vision before they get canned, what other outcome but failure is there? Young still has time to turn things around, but it’s hard to imagine that he will come even close to fulfilling a fraction of his potential so long as he stays in Carolina. There are options open to him if player and team decide it is in their mutual interest to part ways. Miami could use a backup plan if Tua Tagovailoa misses extended time with his recent concussion. The Los Angeles Rams could use him as an understudy for Matthew Stafford and see if Sean McVay can utilize him. The next opponent in the Raiders aren’t set at the quarterback position and could decide to bring Young in as a way to not force a decision and build up the rest of their roster. For Young, these spots represent a much-needed fresh start, and a change in scenery might be a better reset than rotting away on the Panthers bench if Dalton makes them look even semi-competitive,

Meanwhile, for the Panthers, it’s hard to tell if this is rock bottom or if there is somehow deeper to dig. Bryce Young has become a lose-lose proposition for them. If he stays, it’s unclear if he will ever develop properly and odds are he will become replaceable quickly; if the Panthers trade him, the team will likely have traded away a significant part of their future for what will likely amount to a late-round pick. The trade already has to be considered one of the worst in NFL history, and it will only rise up that pantheon if the Bears become a force within the next few years. To make matters worse, they’re the ones that will be stuck with Tepper and the rest of the dreck he’s assembled, meaning their situation will almost certainly get worse before it gets better.

I believe Carlito Keyes said it best: “This, my friend, is hell.”

Tua Time To Say Goodbye?

Image Credit: Rebecca Blackwell/AP

It’s hard walking away from what’s been your life’s work. Being without one of the few constants that life has provided is certainly a daunting endeavor. However, what happens when one of the things you love most in this world doesn’t love you back? What if it’s actively robbing you of living life to its fullest extent, taking away from everything else that matters? What if the only choice is either deciding to walk away on your own power, or not having the choice at all?

Such is the crossroads where Tua Tagovailoa stands now.

On Thursday night, the Miami Dolphins quarterback was trying to galvanize his team to a comeback against the Buffalo Bills. Midway through the third quarter, Tagovailoa attempted to scramble and drive his team down the field. Instead of sliding, he tried to truck through Bills safety Damar Hamlin to fight for more yards. Instead, Tagovailoa’s head collided with Hamlin’s body and he fell to the turf.

What happened next was a scene that was disturbingly familiar: Tagovailoa laid out on the field, unable to stand, his arms locked in a fencing response. It was the second time fans had seen him in this position, after his head hit hard against the ground after taking a sack against the Cincinnati Bengals in 2022. That one was considered his second concussion in the span of a week when he went into the NFL’s concussion protocol during their previous game (ironically, against Buffalo).

For those of you doing the math, this recent scare is Tagovailoa’s third concussion, at least, in as many seasons. With players, analysts, and fans alike already wondering if he would retire after the multiple concussions in 2022, those same conversations have not only returned: they’ve been kicked into overdrive.

Tagovailoa even admitted during that off-season that he contemplated retirement after the 2022 season after conversations with his family. He would ultimately return to football, taking jiujitsu and judo training to soften his landings and stay away from another concussion. It would pay off for Tagovailoa, as he remained healthy and played a full season for the first time in his NFL career in 2023. He would also be rewarded this past off-season with a massive extension, signing a four-year, $212.1 million deal in July.

Therein lies the tricky part of the equation. In his new contract, Tagovailoa received just over $167 million in guarantees, with $124 million left to be paid during the deal. If Tagovailoa opts to retire despite being medically cleared to return to the field, he will forego that money. If he is medically forced to retire, however, he will be entitled to those guarantees. Going back to the point from the start of this article, Tagovailoa may not have the choice available to him.

Even in the event he is medically cleared to return to play later this season, is there really a guarantee Tagovailoa will come back? Sure, it’s hard to walk away with nine figures on the table and a whole career still ahead, but there are some things you can’t simply clip a price tag on. By returning to the game, Tagovailoa will be putting his body at massive risk, and another big hit could result in irreparable, life-altering consequences for the star quarterback.

A study from just last year noted that, out of a group of contact sport athletes who passed away before the age of 30, 40% of them had their brains diagnosed with chronic traumatic encephalopathy, or CTE. Even though CTE can only be diagnosed postmortem, the signs of it are visible during life. CTE can cause confusion, balance issues, memory loss and, in severe cases, dementia and depression. With Tagovailoa’s alarming history of concussions, the possibility of CTE or similar disorders brought on by repeated concussions, as well as their impact on his overall quality of life, has to be considered.

If not out of concern for his own well-being, that of Tagovailoa’s family has to be considered. He is a husband and a father of two young children, and he must weigh the risks of continuing his career with his family life. In this respect, I think of the recent tragedy involving Johnny and Matthew Gaudreau. While the circumstances between the two are somewhat different, it paints a chilling picture all the same. Johnny left behind two young children and, as his wife revealed during the brothers’ funeral, a third will never get to know life with their father. Matthew also had an unborn child on the way. Those families now must endure an existence no one should wish on their worst enemy: incomplete, hollow, every milestone a painful reminder of who should be celebrating with them. Tua Tagovailoa and his family don’t deserve that happening to them; no one does.

The choice, ultimately, is Tagovailoa’s and his alone. If he does play, he will be welcomed back by his teammates and fans, hoping for his continued success at the highest level of competition. That said, there will always exist the fear that the next hit could be the last one, bringing Tagovailoa’s plans for the future to a sudden, screeching halt. There would be no shame in choosing to walk away now; Tagovailoa has shown success at the University of Alabama and for the Dolphins, and the money he has already made will ensure his family is set for life. If he does choose that path, though, I only hope that he’s the one who makes that decision, and life doesn’t make it for him.